Analyzing Spatial Disparities In Economic Development: A Core-Periphery Approach of the National Capital Region’s Urban Fringe

Authors

  • Marie Justine C. Anisco University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines
  • Cris Daniel B. Gagarin University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines
  • Peter Jeff C. Camaro, M.A. University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47941/ijecop.2446

Keywords:

Core-Periphery, Gross Regional Domestic Product, Household Final Consumption Expenditure, Regional Economics

Abstract

Purpose: This study examines the influence of Household Final Consumption Expenditure (HFCE), Provincial Inflation, Higher Educational Institutions (HEI), and Transportation and Storage to the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) of three Philippine regions: the National Capital Region (NCR), Region III (Central Luzon), and Region IV-A (CALABARZON). These regions were selected due to their distinct roles in the core-periphery model, with the National Capital Region as the economic “core” and Regions III and IV-A as the peripheral regions with economic interconnections to the core. The study uses regional-level data from the Philippine Statistics Authority and the Commission on Higher Education from 2004 to 2021.

Methodology: The study employed Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) for region-specific analysis of the variables and Random Effects Generalized Least Squares (GLS) for the panel dataset, which combines the data across the three regions over time.

Findings: The findings reveal that HFCE positively and significantly impacts GRDP in NCR, Region III and Region IV-A. The number of graduates from HEIs shows a positive and significant relationship with GRDP only in Region III (Central Luzon). The other variables, provincial inflation and transportation and storage does not show a significant relationship to GRDP in the regional level and in all of the regions combined. In the panel dataset, the results highlight that only HFCE has a positive and significant impact on GRDP, suggesting that the economic influence of the core (NCR) extends to the periphery through this variable.

Unique Contribution to Theory, Policy and Practice: The findings suggest policies aimed at stimulating household consumption in both the core and peripheral regions to foster balanced economic growth.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Marie Justine C. Anisco, University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines

Department of Business Economics

College of Commerce and Business Administration

Cris Daniel B. Gagarin, University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines

Department of Business Economics

College of Commerce and Business Administration

Peter Jeff C. Camaro, M.A., University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines

Department of Business Economics

College of Commerce and Business Administration

References

Aggarwal, S. (2018). Do rural roads create pathways out of poverty? Evidence from India. Journal of Development Economics, 133, 375–395. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2018.01.004

Ann, T. W., Wu, Y., Zheng, B., Zhang, X., & Shen, L. (2014). Identifying risk factors of urban-rural conflict in urbanization: A case of China. Habitat International, 44, 177–185.

Armstrong, B., Bhattachary, D., Bogdan, A., Connors, C., Broomfield, L., Disson, J., Gillespie, R., Heard, H., John, A., King, L., Miah, M., Mirzahosseinkhan, E., Patel, M., Rayner, A., & Watson, S. (2023). Digital methods of social science in food regulation: case studies from the Food Standards Agency. Journal of Risk Research, 26(8), 855–865. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2023.2197616

Armstrong, B., Reynolds, C., Bridge, G., Oakden, L., Wang, C., Panzone, L., Schmidt Rivera, X., Kause, A., Ffoulkes, C., Krawczyk, C., Miller, G., & Serjeant, S. (2021). How Does Citizen Science Compare to Online Survey Panels? A Comparison of Food Knowledge and Perceptions Between the Zooniverse, Prolific and Qualtrics UK Panels. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 4, 575021. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2020.575021

Asher, S., & Novosad, P. (2020). Rural Roads and Local Economic Development. American Economic Review, 110(3), 797–823. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20180268

Bakari, S. (2018). Impact of exports and imports on economic growth in Canada: Empirical analysis based on causality. International Academic Journal of Innovative Research, 05(01), 17–29.

Banerjee, A., Duflo, E., & Qian, N. (2020). On the Road: Access to Transportation Infrastructure and Economic Growth in China. Journal of Development Economics, 145, 102442. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2020.102442

Baragis, M. A. B. (2022). The Impacts of Rapid Urbanization in The Rural-Urban Fringe Area: The Case in the Province of Cavite, Philippines. Norwegian University of Life Sciences.

Baum-Snow, N., Brandt, L., Henderson, J. V., Turner, M. A., & Zhang, Q. (2017). Roads, Railroads, and Decentralization of Chinese Cities. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 99(3), 435–448. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00660

Berg, C. N., Deichmann, U., Liu, Y., & Selod, H. (2016). Transport Policies and Development. The Journal of Development Studies, 53(4), 465–480. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2016.1199857

Boquet, Y. (2017). The growth of Greater Manila. In Springer geography (pp. 521–566). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-51926-5_16

Bonsu, O. C., & Muzindutsi, P. (2017). Macroeconomic Determinants of Household Consumption Expenditure in Ghana: A Multivariate Cointegration Approach. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues. 7. 737-745.

Campbell, H. S., & James, R. D. (2020). A look at geographic differences in income and cost of living. Papers in Applied Geography, 1–15. doi:10.1080/23754931.2020.1725604

Caraveli, H. (2016). Global imbalances and EU core-periphery division: Institutional framework and theoretical interpretations. World Review of Political Economy, 7(1), 29-55.

Ceesay, E. K., Francis, P. C., Jawneh, S., Njie, M., Belford, C., & Fanneh, M. M. (2021). Climate change, growth in agriculture value-added, food availability and economic growth nexus in the Gambia: a Granger causality and ARDL modeling approach. In SN Business & Economics https://doi.org/10.1007/s43546-021-00100-6

Chakrabarti, S. (2018). Can highway development promote employment growth in India? Transport Policy, 69, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.05.009

Chakraborty, S., Avtar, R., Raj, R., & Thu Minh, H. V. (2019). Village level provisioning ecosystem services and their values to local communities in the peri-urban areas of Manila, The Philippines. Land, 8(12), 177.

Chandrasekhar, S., & Sharma, A. (2015). Urbanization and spatial patterns of internal migration in India. Spatial demography, 3, 63-89.

Chen, A., Li, Y., Ye, K., Nie, T., & Liu, R. (2021). Does Transport Infrastructure Inequality Matter for Economic Growth? Evidence from China. Land, 10(8), 874. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10080874

Davis, J. B. (2019). Economics and economic methodology in a core-periphery economic world. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, 39(3), 408–426. https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-35172019-3004

Defeyter, M. A., Hetherington, M., McKean, M., & Forsey, A. (2022). The bungled digitisation of Healthy Start is hampering low income families’ access to healthy food. BMJ, Vo1 462. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.o1462

Ertreo, M., Field, D., Rowcroft, D., & O’Halloran, P. (2021). Regional Variations in Diagnostic Radiology Residency Stipends Are Accentuated When Correlated With Cost of Living. Journal of the American College of Radiology, 18(5), 752-758. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacr.2020.11.013

Ezeji, C.E. and Ajudua, E.I. (2015) Determinants of Aggregate Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 6, 164-169I

Faber, B. (2014). Trade Integration, Market Size, and Industrialization: Evidence from China’s National Trunk Highway System. The Review of Economic Studies, 81(3), 1046–1070. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdu010

Garcia-López, M.-À., Herranz-Loncan, A., Tassinari, F., & Viladecans-Marsal, E. (2023). Paving the way to modern growth: The Spanish Bourbon roads. Explorations in Economic History, 90, 101544–101544. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eeh.2023.101544

Geoportal Philippines. (n.d.). Geoportal Philippines. Retrieved May 4, 2024, from https://www.geoportal.gov.ph/

Gibbons, S., Lyytikäinen, T., Overman, H., & Sanchis-Guarner, R. (2019). New road infrastructure: The effects on firms. Journal of Urban Economics, 110, 35–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2019.01.002

Givoni, M. (2017). Assessing core-periphery relation through travel patterns-The case of Israel. Research in Transportation Economics, 63, 73-85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2017.07.003

Glassner M and Fahrer C (2004) Political Geography. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.

Gotham, K. F., & King, A. J. (2019). Urbanization. The Wiley Blackwell Companion to Sociology, 267-282.

Gu, C. (2019). Urbanization: Processes and driving forces. Science China Earth Sciences, 62, 1351-1360.

Guerrero, M., Cunningham, J. A., & Urbano, D. (2015). Economic impact of entrepreneurial universities’ activities: An exploratory study of the United Kingdom. Research Policy, 44(3), 748-764. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2014.10.008

Gupta, F. & Kaur, C. (2014). Perceptions of teachers on quality assurance in higher education. Scholarly Research Journal For Interdisciplinary Studies,2(11), 1320-1332.

Harari, D., Bolton, P., Francis-Devine, B., Keep, M., (2023). Rising Cost of Living in the UK. House of Commons Library.

Hayter, R., Barnes, T. J., & Bradshaw, M. J. (2003). Relocating resource peripheries to the core of economic geography’s theorizing: rationale and agenda. Area, 35(1), 15–23. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-4762.00106

Iacono, M., & Levinson, D. (2016). Mutual causality in road network growth and economic development. Transport Policy, 45, 209–217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2015.06.005

Jain, D., Nair, K. S., & Jain, V. (2015). Factors Affecting GDP (Manufacturing, Services, Industry): An Indian Perspective. Annual Research Journal of SCMS, 3, 38–56.

Jiao, J., Wang, J., Zhang, F., Jin, F., & Liu, W. (2020). Roles of accessibility, connectivity and spatial interdependence in realizing the economic impact of high-speed rail: Evidence from China. Transport Policy, 91, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2020.03.001

Johnstone, A., & Lonnie, M. (2023). The cost‐of‐living crisis is feeding the paradox of obesity and food insecurities in the uk. Obesity, 31(6), 1461–1462. https://doi.org/10.1002/oby.23740

Kanbur, R., & Zhuang, J. (2013). Urbanization and inequality in Asia. Asian Development Review, 30(1), 131-147.

Khalid, B., Chaveesuk, S., & Chaiyasoonthorn, W. (2021). MOOCs adoption in higher education: A management perspective. Polish Journal of Management Studies 23: 239–56.

Khandker, Shahidur R., Bakht, Z., & Koolwal, Gayatri B. (2009). The Poverty Impact of Rural Roads: Evidence from Bangladesh. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 57(4), 685–722. https://doi.org/10.1086/598765

Kim, S., M. (2015). An Empirical Analysis on Urban-Rural Linkage in Mumbai Metropolitan Area. The Journal of Development Practice 2.

Klimczuk, A., & Klimczuk-Kochańska, M. (2019). Core-Periphery Model. The Palgrave Encyclopedia of Global Security Studies, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74336-3_320-1

Liu, T., & Su, C. (2021). Is transportation improving urbanization in China? Socio-economic Planning Sciences, 77, 101034. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2021.101034

Malaque III, I. R., & Yokohari, M. (2007). Urbanization process and the changing agricultural landscape pattern in the urban fringe of Metro Manila, Philippines. Environment and Urbanization, 19(1), 191-206.

Martin, F. (1998). The economic impact of Canadian University R&D. Research Policy, 27(7), 677–687. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0048-7333(98)00083-3

Meyer, D., & Shera, A. (2017). The impact of remittances on economic growth: An econometric model. EconomiA, 18(2), 147-155.

Meijer, J., Huijbregts, M., Schotten, K., & Schipper, A. (2018). Global patterns of current and future road infrastructure. Environmental Research Letters, 13(6), 064006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aabd42

Mendoza, R. U., Olfindo, R., & Maala, C. R. (2017). Spatial disparities and poverty: The case of three provinces in the Philippines (pp. 23-40). Springer International Publishing.

Missos, V., Domenikos, C., & Pontis, N. (2024). Hardening the EU core-periphery lines, 2009–2019: Dependency, neoliberalism, welfare reformation and poverty in Greece. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 69, 171-182.

Muehlenbachs, L., Spiller, E., & Timmins, C. (2015). The housing market impacts of shale gas development. American Economic Review, 105(12), 3633–3659. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20140079

Murakami, A., & Palijon, A. M. (2005). Urban sprawl and land use characteristics in the urban fringe of Metro Manila, Philippines. Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering, 4(1), 177-183.

Narayan, L. (2014). Urbanization and development. International Journal of Research, 1(8), 901-908.

NASA Earth Observatory. (2014). The Growth of Manila. https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/86780/the-growth-of-manila

Nawir, D., Bakri, M. D., & Syarif, I. A. (2023). Central government role in road infrastructure development and economic growth in the form of future study: the case of Indonesia. City, Territory and Architecture , 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40410-022-00188-9

Nguyen, H. M., & Nguyen, L. D. (2018). The relationship between urbanization and economic growth: An empirical study on ASEAN countries. International Journal of Social Economics, 45(2), 316-339.

Nolan, A. (2023). Human rights and the cost-of-living crisis. Netherlands Quarterly of Human Rights. https://doi.org/10.1177/09240519231156060

Owan, V., J., Duruamaku-Dim, J., U., Ekpe, M. B., Owan,T., J., & Agurokpon. D., C., (2019). School Characteristics and Secondary School Teachers’ Work Effectiveness in Abi Local Government Area of Cross River State. American Journal of Education and Information Technology. 3(1), 25-31. doi: 10.11648/j.ajeit.20190301.15

Padilla, L. A. (2006). The Manila Mega Urban Region: In Search of a Model. Philippine Institute for Development Studies. https://serp-p.pids.gov.ph/publication/public/view?slug=the-manila-mega-urban-region-in-search-of-a-model

Pan, J., Zhao, X., Guo, W., Feng, Y., Liu, Y., Zhu, J., & Fang, J. (2024). Characterizing China’s road network development from a spatial entropy perspective. Journal of Transport Geography, 116, 103848–103848. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2024.103848

Pascariu, G., & Ţigănaşu, R. (2017). Integration, Growth and Core-Periphery Pattern in EU’s Economy: Theoretical Framework and Empirical Evidences. Emerald Publishing Limited EBooks, 23–85. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78714-495-820171002

Percoco, M. (2015). Highways, local economic structure and urban development. Journal of Economic Geography, 16(5), 1035–1054. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbv031

Philippine Statistics Authority. (2021). All provinces and HUC in CALABARZON post growth in 2022; Cavite records the fastest growth of 9.2 percent. https://psa.gov.ph/content/all-provinces-and-huc-calabarzon-post-growth-2022-cavite-records-fastest-growth-92-percent

Philippine Statistics Authority. (2022). Official Poverty Statistics of the Philippines. https://psa.gov.ph/system/files/phdsd/2023-01/Preliminary%25202021%2520Full%2520Year%2520Poverty%2520Statistics%2520Publication_25Aug2022.pdf

Philippine Statistics Authority (2024). 3rd Quarter Consistent demand sustains household spending in Q3 2024. https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/national-accounts/sector/Household%20Final%20Consumption

Philippine Statistics Authority. (2023a). GRDP Data Series. https://www.psa.gov.ph/statistics/grdp/data-series

Philippine Statistics Authority. (2023b). QUICKSTAT Bulacan. https://rsso03.psa.gov.ph/sites/default/files/2023-QS-14-02.pdf

Philippine Statistics Authority. (2023c). Three out of Nine Economies in Central Luzon Post Double-Digit Growth in 2022. https://psa.gov.ph/content/three-out-nine-economies-central-luzon-post-double-digit-growth-2022

Pleasant, T., & Spalding, A. (2021). Development and dependency in the periphery: From bananas to tourism in Bocas del Toro, Panama. World Development Perspectives, 24, 100363. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wdp.2021.100363

Pugh, R., & Dubois, A. (2021). Peripheries within economic geography: Four “problems” and the road ahead of us. Journal of Rural Studies, 87, 267–275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2021.09.007

Quimbo, M. A. T., & Sulabo, E. C. (2014). Research productivity and its policy implications in higher education institutions. Studies in Higher Education, 39(10), 1955–1971. https://doi.org/10.1080/03075079.2013.818639

Raflores, L. S., & Regmi, R. K. (2015). Understanding the water and urban environment of a megacity: the case of Metro Manila, Philippines. Water and Urban Initiative Working Paper Series. United Nations University Institute for the Advanced Study of Sustainability.

Raisová, M., & Ďurčová, J. (2014). Economic Growth-supply and Demand Perspective. Procedia Economics and Finance, 15(15), 184–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2212-5671(14)00476-6

Ramaswamy, M., Marciniuk, D. D., Csonka, V., Colò, L., & Saso, L. (2021). Reimagining internationalization in higher education through the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals for the betterment of Society. Journal of Studies in International Education, 25(4), 388–406. https://doi.org/10.1177/10283153211031046

Ritchie, H., Roser, M., & Samborska, V. (2018). Urbanization. Our world in data.

Rokicki, B., & Stępniak, M. (2018). Major transport infrastructure investment and regional economic development–An accessibility-based approach. Journal of Transport Geography, 72, 36-49.

Sari, T., & Nayır, F. (2020). Challenges in distance education during the (covid-19) pandemic period. Qualitative Research in Education, 9(3), 328. https://doi.org/10.17583/qre.2020.5872

Sreelekha, M., Krishnamurthy, K., & Anjaneyulu, M. (2016). Interaction between Road Network Connectivity and Spatial Pattern. Procedia Technology, 24, 131–139. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.protcy.2016.05.019

Stone, R. A., Brown, A., Douglas, F., Green, M. A., Hunter, E., Lonnie, M., Johnstone, A. M., & Hardman, C. A. (2024). The impact of the cost of living crisis and food insecurity on food purchasing behaviours and food preparation practices in people living with obesity. Appetite, 196, 107255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.appet.2024.107255

Tupas, F. P., & Linas-Laguda, M. (2020). Blended learning – an approach in Philippine Basic Education curriculum in New normal: A review of current literature. Universal Journal of Educational Research, 8(11), 5505–5512. https://doi.org/10.13189/ujer.2020.081154

Tusalem, R. F. (2019). Imperial Manila: How institutions and political geography disadvantage Philippine provinces. Asian Journal of Comparative Politics, 205789111984144. doi:10.1177/2057891119841441

Vaiciukevičiūtė, A., Stankevičienė, J., & Bratčikovienė, N. (2019). Higher education institutions’ impact on the economy. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 20(3), 507–525. https://doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2019.10156

Volchik, V., Oganesyan, A., & Olejarz, T. (2018). Higher education as a factor of socio-economic performance and development. Journal of International Studies, 11(4), 326-340. doi:10.14254/2071-8330.2018/11-4/23

Wang, Y., & Liu, C. (2016). Cultivate Mindfulness: A Case Study of Mindful Learning in an English as a Foreign Language Classroom. IAFOR Journal of Education, 4(2). https://doi.org/10.22492/ije.4.2.08

Wieczorek, A. J. (2018). Sustainability transitions in developing countries: Major insights and their implications for research and policy. Environmental Science & Policy, 84, 204–216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2017.08.008

Weiss, D. J., Nelson, A., Gibson, H. S., Temperley, W., Peedell, S., Lieber, A., Hancher, M., Poyart, E., Belchior, S., Fullman, N., Mappin, B., Dalrymple, U., Rozier, J., Lucas, T. C. D., Howes, R. E., Tusting, L. S., Kang, S. Y., Cameron, E., Bisanzio, D., & Battle, K. E. (2018). A global map of travel time to cities to assess inequalities in accessibility in 2015. Nature, 553(7688), 333–336. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature25181

Wudad, A., Naser, S., & Lameso, L. (2021). The impact of improved road networks on marketing of vegetables and households’ income in Dedo district, Oromia regional state, Ethiopia. Heliyon, 7(10), e08173. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e08173

Yépez-García, M. C., Ferrari, G., Sanabria, L. Y., Hernández, P., Almeida, R. Y., Villar Cáceres, M., Gómez, G., Pareja, R., Rigotti, A., Kovalskys, I., & Fisberg, M. (2021). Energy Imbalance Gap, Anthropometric Measures, Lifestyle, and Sociodemographic Correlates in Latin American Adults—Results from the ELANS Study. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(3), 1129. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19031129

Zhao, S. X., Guo, N. S., Li, C. L. K., & Smith, C. (2017). Megacities, the world’s largest cities unleashed: major trends and dynamics in contemporary global urban development. World Development, 98, 257-289.

Downloads

Published

2025-01-10

How to Cite

Anisco, M. J., Gagarin, C. D., & Camaro, P. J. (2025). Analyzing Spatial Disparities In Economic Development: A Core-Periphery Approach of the National Capital Region’s Urban Fringe. International Journal of Economic Policy, 5(1), 34–65. https://doi.org/10.47941/ijecop.2446

Issue

Section

Articles