Paradigm Shift in Finance: Insights from COVID 19
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47941/ijf.2251Keywords:
COVID-19 Pandemic, Financial Markets, Digital Technology, EconomyAbstract
Purpose: This paper analyzes the literature and findings on the COVID-19 impact on the economy and provides insights and policy formulations for future pandemic-like crises.
Methodology: Our paper follows secondary research analyzing existing literature on COVID-19 and its impact on the global economy. Our paper adopts a methodical literature survey approach to analyze peer-reviewed finance research articles. This approach has helped to evaluate the policy responses to the pandemic by analyzing studies on fiscal stimulus, monetary interventions, and public health measures. Further, it helps identify common trends, patterns, and gaps in knowledge.
Findings: The COVID-19 pandemic has driven a paradigm shift in finance, reshaping how financial institutions operate, how consumers interact with financial services, and how markets function. These changes will likely have lasting effects, driving continued innovation and transformation in the financial sector. A forward-looking fiscal and monetary policy is vital for long-term economic care. The policies include investing in healthcare infrastructure, the digital economy, and education to prepare for future crises.
Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice, and Policy: The COVID-19 pandemic undeniably created upheavals in the financial world. It forced a reevaluation of many long-held assumptions and accelerated trends already underway. Our paper demonstrates that future pandemic policies need to be more flexible and adaptable based on the economic structure and intensity of the crisis, along with international cooperation. The COVID-19 highlighted the economic vulnerabilities, transformed consumer behavior, and altered market structures. The paper’s insights provide a mechanism and illustration of how to mitigate and minimize such a crisis. Traditional economic and monetary policies are ill-suited. Countries should be ready for responsive policies and adjustments to manage pandemic-like crises; hence, this paper provides the groundwork for more adaptable policies.
Downloads
References
Acharya, V., Engle, R., and Sascha, S. (2021). Why did bank stocks crash during COVID-19? NBER Working Paper.2021, 28559.
Adrian, T., Natalucci, F.M., and Qureshi, M.S. (2023). Macro-Financial Stability in the COVID-19 Crisis: Some Reflections, Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2023, 15:29–54.
Arriola, C., Kowalski, P., and Tongeren, F. (2022). Understanding Structural Effects of COVID-19 on the Global Economy: First Steps, OECD Publishing, 2022.
Baker, S.R., Bloom, N., Davis, S.J., and Sammon, M.C. (2021). What triggers stock market jumps? NBER Working Paper. 28687.
Bakas, D. and Triantafyllou, A. (2020). Commodity price volatility and the economic uncertainty of pandemics, Economics Letters 193 (2020), 109283.
Baker, S., Bloom, N., Davis, S.J., Kost, K., Sammon, M., and Viratyosin, T. (2020). The unprecedented stock market reaction to COVID-19, The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Vol 10, 2020 Pages 742–758, https://doi.org/10.1093/rapstu/raaa008.
Beck, T. and Keil, J. (2021). Have banks caught corona? Effects of COVID on lending in the U.S. Journal of Corporate Finance, Vol 72, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2022.102160
Caporale, G.M., Gil-Alana, L., and Arrese Lasaosa, I. (2022). The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on persistence in the European stock markets, Heliyon 8 (11) (2022).
Ҫolak, G., ¨Oztekin, ¨O. (2021). The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on bank lending around the world. Journal of Banking and Finance. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106207
Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Pedraza, A., and Ruiz-Ortega, C. (2021). Banking sector performance during the COVID-19 crisis. Journal of Banking and Finance. Volume 133, December 2021, 106305 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106305
Duan, Y., El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O., Li, H., and Li, X. (2021). Bank systemic risk around COVID-19: A cross-country analysis. Journal of Banking and Finance. Volume 133, 106299 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106299
Elnahass, M., Trinh, V.Q., and Li, T. (2021). Global banking stability in the shadow of Covid-19 outbreak. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101322
Fahlenbrach, R., Rageth, K., and Stulz, R.M. (2021). How valuable is financial flexibility when revenue stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis. Review of Financial Studies 34:5474–521.
Foglia, M., Addi, A., and Angelini, E. (2022). The Eurozone banking sector in the time of COVID-19: Measuring volatility connectedness. Global Finance Journal, 51.
Gormsen, N. and Koijen, R. S. (2023) Financial Markets and the COVID-19 Pandemic, Annual Review of Financial Economics Volume 15, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-financial-110821-020444
Hale, T., Petherick, A., Phillips, T., and Webster, S. (2020). Variation in Government Responses to COVID-19, vol. 31, Blavatnik School of Government Working Paper, 2020, p. 11, 2020.
International Monetary Fund 2022. Central Bank Support to Financial Markets in the Coronavirus Pandemic, Special Series on COVID-19, 2022.
Ji, Q., Zhang, D., and Zhao, Y. (2020). Searching for safe-haven assets during the COVID-19 pandemic, International Review of Financial Analysis 71 (2020), 101526.
Mirza, N., Naqvi, B., Rahat, B., and Rizvi, S.K.A. (2020) Price reaction, volatility timing and funds’ performance during Covid-19, Finance Research Letters 36 (2020), 101657.
Narayan, P.K., Phan, D.H.B., and Liu, G. (2021). COVID-19 lockdowns, stimulus packages, travel bans, and stock returns, Finance Research Letters 38 (2021), 101732.
Nelson, C., Adiguzel, I., Florin, M.V., Lentzos, F., Knutsson, R., Rhodes, C., et al. (2021). “Foresight in synthetic biology and biotechnology threats,” in Emerging threats of synthetic biology and biotechnology: addressing security and resilience issues. Editor B. D. Trump (Dordrecht (DE): Springer).
Samitas, A., Kampouris, E., Polyzos, S. (2022). Covid-19 pandemic and spillover effects in stock markets: A financial network approach. International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol 80, 2022 https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IRFA.2021.102005.
Shabir, M., Jiang, P., Wang, W., and Işık, O. (2023). COVID-19 pandemic impact on banking sector: A cross-country analysis, Journal of Multinational Financial Management. 2023 Mar; 67: 100784.
Sharif, A., Aloui, C., and Yarovaya, L. (2020). COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices, stock market, geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty nexus in the US economy: fresh evidence from the wavelet-based approach, International Review of Financial Analysis 70 (2020), 101496. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101496.
Tan, X., Ma, S., Wang, X., Feng, C., and Xiang L. (2022) The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global dynamic spillover of financial market risk. Front. Public Health 10:963620. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.963620.
The Global Risk Report 2024, Insight Report, World Economic Forum, 2024.
Umar, Z. and Gubareva, M. (2020). A time–frequency analysis of the impact of the Covid-19 induced panic on the volatility of currency and cryptocurrency markets, Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance 28 (2020), 100404.
Wei, X. and Han, L. (2021). The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on transmission of monetary policy to financial markets, International Review of Financial Analysis 74 (2021), 101705.
Zhang, D., Hu, M., and Ji, Q. (2020). Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19, Finance Research Letters 36 (2020), 101528.
Zhao, L., Rasoulinezhad, E., Sarker, T., and Taghizadeh‑Hesary, F. (2023). Effects of COVID‑19 on Global Financial Markets: Evidence from Qualitative Research for Developed and Developing Economies The European Journal of Development Research (2023) 35:148–166 https://doi.org/10.1057/s41287-021-00494-x
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Umesh Kumar, Biqing Huang
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.